The Slope of a Fitted Line

Student Summary

Here is a scatter plot that we have seen before. As noted earlier, we can see from the scatter plot that taller dogs tend to weigh more than shorter dogs.

Another way to say it is that weight tends to increase as height increases.

When we have a positive association between two variables, an increase in one means there tends to be an increase in the other.

Scatterplot.
A scatterplot. Horizontal, from 6 to 30, by 3’s, labeled dog height, inches. Vertical, from 0 to 112, by 16’s, labeled dog weight, pounds. 24 data points.  Trend upward and to right.

We can quantify this tendency by fitting a line to the data and finding its slope.

For example, the equation of the fitted line is w=4.27h37w = 4.27h -37, where hh is the height of the dog and ww is the predicted weight of the dog.

The slope is 4.27, which tells us that for every 1-inch increase in dog height, the weight is predicted to increase by 4.27 pounds.

A scatterplot, horizontal, dog height in inches, 6 to 30 by 3, vertical, 0 to 112 by 16. Same scatterplot as previous, this time with a line through 9 comma 0 and 27 comma 80.

In our example of the fuel efficiency and weight of a car, the slope of the fitted line shown is -0.01.

Scatterplot, weight, kilograms, 1000 to 2500 by 250, fuel efficiency, miles per gallon, 14 to 32 by 2. Points are arranged close to the line through 1100 comma 28 down and right through 2300 comma 14.

This tells us that for every 1-kilogram increase in the weight of the car, the fuel efficiency is predicted to decrease by 0.01 mile per gallon (or, after multiplying both values by 100, every 100-kilogram increase corresponds to a predicted decrease of 1 mpg). 

When we have a negative association between two variables, an increase in one means there tends to be a decrease in the other.

Visual / Anchor Chart

Standards

Building On
8.EE.6

8.EE.B.6

Addressing
8.SP.1

8.SP.2

8.SP.A.1

8.SP.A.2

8.SP.3

8.SP.A.3

8.SP.2

8.SP.A.2

Building Toward
8.SP.3

8.SP.A.3

8.SP.3

8.SP.A.3